ecms_neu_mini.png

Digital Library

of the European Council for Modelling and Simulation

 

Title:

Monte Carlo Simulation Model To Study The Inequalities In Access To EMS Services

Authors:

Bo┼╝ena Mielczarek, Jacek Zabawa

Published in:

 

ECMS 2007 Proceedings

Edited by: Ivan Zelinka, Zuzana Oplatkova, Alessandra Orsoni

 

ISBN: 978-0-9553018-2-7

Doi: 10.7148/2007

 

21st European Conference on Modelling and Simulation,

Prague, June 4-6, 2007

 

Citation format:

Mielczarek, B., & Zabawa, J. (2007). Monte Carlo Simulation Model To Study The Inequalities In Access To EMS Services. ECMS 2007 Proceedings edited by: I. Zelinka, Z. Oplatkova, A. Orsoni (pp. 50-55). European Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2007-0050.

DOI:

http://dx.doi.org/10.7148/2007-0050

Abstract:

A Monte Carlo simulation model has been set up to analyze the inequalities in access to emergency medical services (EMS) in Lower Silesia Region in Poland. In the former studies carried on by one author the differences between different evaluative criteria measuring the effectiveness of emergency system in the selected number of communes in one of the Polish South-West regions have been assessed. The goal of this paper is to examine, using a stochastic simulation Monte Carlo model, the influence of the predicted demographic changes (fluctuations of population number) and epidemiological changes (fluctuations in EMS events: calls-for-service passed to the dispatcher of EMS system) on the access to emergency care.

Full text: