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Digital Library of the
European Council for Modelling and Simulation |
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Title: |
Synthesis
Of Sustainable Development Scenarios Of Social Economic Systems |
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Authors: |
Dmitry A. Kononov,
Vladimir V. Kul’ba, Jana Bikovska |
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Published in:
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ECMS
2008 Proceedings Edited
by: Loucas S. Louca, Yiorgos Chrysanthou, Zuzana Oplatkova, Khalid Al-Begain ISBN:
978-0-9553018-6-5 Doi: 10.7148/2008 22nd
European Conference on Modelling and Simulation, Nicosia, June
3-6, 2008 |
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Citation
format: |
Kononov, D. A., Kulba, V. V., & Bikovska,
J. (2008). Synthesis
Of Sustainable Development Scenarios Of Social Economic Systems. ECMS 2008
Proceedings edited by: L. S. Louca, Y. Chrysanthou, Z. Oplatkova, K. Al-Begain (pp. 139-144).
European Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2008-0139 |
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DOI: |
http://dx.doi.org/10.7148/2008-0139 |
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Abstract: |
This paper presents basic
principles of a scenario approach application to the problem of optimal
development of social economic systems. The formalized description of
scenario of system sustainable development is introduced and synergetic and
attractive scenarios are examined. The modes providing stable and safe
development of social economic system are investigated for synergistic
scenarios, however for attractive scenarios it is the control purpose.
Scenario design example based on the use of the social economic system
development model represented by signed the graph language are given. Formal
methods of such scenarios development, the "Object-subject" method
and the method of base scenarios, are proposed. |
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