|
Digital Library of the
European Council for Modelling and Simulation |
Title: |
Investigation Of Accident Black Spots On Latvian Roads Using Scan
Statistics Method |
Authors: |
Vitalijs Jurenoks, Vladimirs Jansons, Konstantins
Didenko |
Published in: |
ECMS
2008 Proceedings Edited
by: Loucas
S. Louca, Yiorgos Chrysanthou, Zuzana Oplatkova, Khalid Al-Begain ISBN:
978-0-9553018-6-5 Doi:
10.7148/2008 22nd
European Conference on Modelling and Simulation, Nicosia, June
3-6, 2008 |
Citation
format: |
Jurenoks, V.,
Jansons, V., & Didenko, K. (2008). Investigation Of Accident Black Spots On Latvian Roads
Using Scan Statistics Method. ECMS 2008 Proceedings edited by: L. S. Louca,
Y. Chrysanthou, Z. Oplatkova, K. Al-Begain (pp.
393-398). European Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2008-0393 |
DOI: |
http://dx.doi.org/10.7148/2008-0393 |
Abstract: |
Scan statistics is an instrument
of research of statistical dynamics of the development of the object under
investigation in space and time [1] – [5]. Research is made of statistics of
road accidents distributed in space and time in the territory of Latvia.
Alongside with the Monte-Carlo method when calculating the p-value, it is
possible to use the direct method of scan modelling, taking into
consideration the empirical rules of distribution of road accidents on the
highways of Latvia. In this case both parametric and non-parametric methods
may be used to describe the distribution of road accidents in Latvia. The
methodology of research of road accidents in space and time enables to detect
the most dangerous places on the highways of Latvia, check the efficiency of
the decisions taken to improve the quality of roads and allocate the
resources of the socio- economic system in a more rational way. |
Full
text: |