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Digital Library

of the European Council for Modelling and Simulation

 

Title:

Taylor-Type Rules And Permanent Shifts In Productivity Growth

Authors:

William T. Gavin, Benjamin D. Keen, Michael R. Pakko

Published in:

 

(2009).ECMS 2009 Proceedings edited by J. Otamendi, A. Bargiela, J. L. Montes, L. M. Doncel Pedrera. European Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2009 

 

ISBN: 978-0-9553018-8-9

 

23rd European Conference on Modelling and Simulation,

Madrid, June 9-12, 2009

Citation format:

Gavin, W. T., Pakko, M. R., & Keen, B. D. (2009). Taylor-Type Rules And Permanent Shifts In Productivity Growth. ECMS 2009 Proceedings edited by J. Otamendi, A. Bargiela, J. L. Montes, L. M. Doncel Pedrera (pp. 457-462). European Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2009-0457-0462

DOI:

http://dx.doi.org/10.7148/2009-0457-0462

Abstract:

This paper uses simulation techniques to evaluate variants of the Taylor rule in a model where the underlying trend rate of growth is subject to permanent shifts. We show that the original Taylor rule is not particularly well-formulated for dealing with this type of environment. However, we also find that a Taylor-type rule in which the output gap is replaced by output growth or one that is augmented by an explicit policy response to deviations of the price level from a target path will look much like the optimal policy.

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