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Digital Library

of the European Council for Modelling and Simulation

 

Title:

A System Dynamics Approach To The Modelling Of Complex Natural Systems

Authors:

Ljiljana Ńestan, Vesna Duńak

Published in:

 

(2011).ECMS 2011 Proceedings edited by: T. Burczynski, J. Kolodziej, A. Byrski, M. Carvalho. European Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2011 

 

ISBN: 978-0-9564944-2-9

 

25th European Conference on Modelling and Simulation,

Jubilee Conference

Krakow, June 7-10, 2011

 

Citation format:

Sestan, L., & Dusak, V. (2011). A System Dynamics Approach To The Modelling Of Complex Natural Systems. ECMS 2011 Proceedings edited by: T. Burczynski, J. Kolodziej, A. Byrski, M. Carvalho (pp. 115-121). European Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2011-0115-0121

DOI:

http://dx.doi.org/10.7148/2011-0115-0121

Abstract:

The research of complex natural systems is of huge importance, especially considering natural and ecological preservation. However, the problem of studying such systems is exactly manifested in its complexity, which is hard to describe and analyze through classic research methods, mostly based on linear connections between the elements of the observed system. A certain level of insecurity which is always present in the natural processes has to be built into a model. Therefore, the development of a simple and clear model of natural systems is a challenge which demands good knowledge of methodology and system itself. The nature of processes inside the complex natural systems as well as their environmental interactions mostly characterizes nonlinear cause- effect links which could be described and analyzed only within one system dynamics approach. The research of system dynamics approach of modelling and simulation of the complex natural systems will be conducted on the example of phenological phases of forest tree ́s leaves.

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