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Digital Library

of the European Council for Modelling and Simulation

 

Title:

Fast Automated Estimation Of Variance In Sequential Discrete Event

Stochastic Simulation

Authors:

Don McNickle, Krzysztof Pawlikowski, Nelson Shaw

Published in:

 

(2011).ECMS 2011 Proceedings edited by: T. Burczynski, J. Kolodziej, A. Byrski, M. Carvalho. European Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2011 

 

ISBN: 978-0-9564944-2-9

 

25th European Conference on Modelling and Simulation,

Jubilee Conference

Krakow, June 7-10, 2011

 

Citation format:

McNickle, D., Pawlikowski, K., & Shaw, N. (2011). Fast Automated Estimation Of Variance In Sequential Discrete Event Stochastic Simulation. ECMS 2011 Proceedings edited by: T. Burczynski, J. Kolodziej, A. Byrski, M. Carvalho (pp. 553-559). European Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2011-0553-0559

DOI:

http://dx.doi.org/10.7148/2011-0553-0559

Abstract:

On-line analysis of output data from discrete event stochastic simulation focuses almost entirely on estimation of means. Most “variance estimation” research in simulation refers to the estimation of the variance of the mean, to construct confidence intervals for mean values. There has been little research on the estimation of variance in simulation. We investigate three methods for point and interval estimates of variance and discuss an implementation of the best technique in an extended version of Akaroa2, a quantitative stochastic simulation controller.

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