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Digital Library of the
European Council for Modelling and Simulation |
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Title: |
Demographic And Educational Projections. Building An Event-Oriented
Microsimulation Model With CoMICS
II |
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Authors: |
Marc Hannappel, Klaus
G. Troitzsch, Simone Bauschke |
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Published in:
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(2012).ECMS
2012 Proceedings edited by: K. G. Troitzsch, M. Moehring, U. Lotzmann. European
Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2012 ISBN:
978-0-9564944-4-3 26th
European Conference on Modelling and Simulation, Shaping reality through simulation Koblenz,
Germany, May 29 – June 1 2012 |
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Citation
format: |
Hannappel, M., Troitzsch,
K. G., & Bauschke, S. (2012). Demographic And
Educational Projections. Building An Event-Oriented Microsimulation
Model With CoMICS II. ECMS 2012 Proceedings edited
by: K. G. Troitzsch, M. Moehring,
U. Lotzmann (pp. 613-618).
European Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2012-0613-0618 |
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DOI: |
http://dx.doi.org/10.7148/2012-0613-0618 |
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Abstract: |
German
demographic or educational projections are con- ventionally
based on macrosimulation or period mi- crosimulation models. In this paper we introduce a
discrete-event microsimulation model, which we have
designed to project the graduate rates of the German pop- ulation.
In this model we use survival functions to calcu-
late different fertility rates by mothers’ education. This paper describes
how to implement the empirical results into the discrete event microsimulation model CoMICS II
and discusses further steps to create a microsimulation
model which could demonstrate the development of the
German graduate rate considering different strengths of social selectivity
mechanisms in the German education system. |
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