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Digital Library

of the European Council for Modelling and Simulation

 

Title:

Preventing Collapse Of Financial Networks Through Systemic Risk Taxes

Authors:

Stefan Thurner

Published in:

 

(2014).ECMS 2014 Proceedings edited by: Flaminio Squazzoni, Fabio Baronio, Claudia Archetti, Marco Castellani  European Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2014

 

ISBN: 978-0-9564944-8-1

 

28th European Conference on Modelling and Simulation,

Brescia, Italy, May 27th – 30th, 2014

Citation format:

Stefan Thurner (2014). Preventing Collapse Of Financial Networks Through Systemic Risk Taxes - Answers From Agent Based Models, ECMS 2014 Proceedings edited by: Flaminio Squazzoni, Fabio Baronio, Claudia Archetti, Marco Castellani  European Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2014-0005

 

DOI:

http://dx.doi.org/10.7148/2014-0005

Abstract:

Financial markets are exposed to systemic risk (SR), the risk that the system ceases to function and collapses. Since recently, it is possible to quantify SR in terms of underlying financial (multiplex) networks where nodes represent financial institutions, and links capture financial contracts such as loans, credits, or derivatives. We show that it is possible to quantify in real data the SR of individual transactions in a financial network. We propose a tax on individual transactions that is proportional to their contribution to the overall SR. If a transaction does not increase SR, it is tax free.

We demonstrate with an agent based model (CRISIS macro-financial model) that the proposed Systemic Risk Tax (SRT) leads to a selforganized re-structuring of financial networks that are practically free of SR.

ABM predictions agree remarkably well with the empirical data and can be used to understand the relation of credit risk and SR.

 

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