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of the European Council for Modelling and Simulation



Modelling Of Financial Stability In Logistic In Conditions Of Uncertainty


Vitalijs Jurenoks, Vladimirs Jansons, Konstantins Didenko

Published in:


ECMS 2007 Proceedings

Edited by: Ivan Zelinka, Zuzana Oplatkova, Alessandra Orsoni


ISBN: 978-0-9553018-2-7

Doi: 10.7148/2007


21st European Conference on Modelling and Simulation,

Prague, June 4-6, 2007


Citation format:

Jurenoks, V., Jansons, V., & Didenko, K. (2007). Modelling Of Financial Stability In Logistic In Conditions Of Uncertainty. ECMS 2007 Proceedings edited by: I. Zelinka, Z. Oplatkova, A. Orsoni (pp. 30-35). European Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2007-0030



It is well known that random character may be an attribute inherent to the majority of economic events and processes, including also logistical processes. Modelling of logistical processes in conditions of uncertainty is complicated due to the lack of trustworthy information describing the conditions of uncertainty, and also in view of the random character of occurrences of deviations in the course of processes researched. Ignoring the evaluation of effect of certain factors during the research of processes occurring in transport logistics system (TLS) frequently expands “zone of risk”, entailing mistakes and discrepancies in the real time situation that, in turn, may finally result in significant material losses.

The principal objectives of this research work are: - to consider the scheme of interaction of TLS participants regarding the process of cargo deliveries from the consignor to the consignee; - to analyse the financial flows of TLS on the basis of a Latvian logistics firm; - to consider an option of modelling the financial stability management of TLS participants in conditions of uncertainty; - to model ”zones of risk” of the financial performance of TLS participants in conditions of uncertainty.

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