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Digital Library of the
European Council for Modelling and Simulation |
Title: |
Monte Carlo Simulation Model To Study The Inequalities In Access To
EMS Services |
Authors: |
Bożena Mielczarek, Jacek
Zabawa |
Published in: |
ECMS
2007 Proceedings Edited
by: Ivan Zelinka, Zuzana Oplatkova, Alessandra Orsoni ISBN:
978-0-9553018-2-7 Doi: 10.7148/2007 21st European
Conference on Modelling and Simulation, Prague, June
4-6, 2007 |
Citation
format: |
Mielczarek, B., & Zabawa,
J. (2007). Monte Carlo Simulation Model To Study The Inequalities In Access
To EMS Services. ECMS 2007 Proceedings edited by: I. Zelinka,
Z. Oplatkova, A. Orsoni (pp. 50-55). European Council for Modeling
and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2007-0050. |
DOI: |
http://dx.doi.org/10.7148/2007-0050 |
Abstract: |
A Monte Carlo simulation model has
been set up to analyze the inequalities in access to emergency medical
services (EMS) in Lower Silesia Region in Poland. In the former studies
carried on by one author the differences between different evaluative
criteria measuring the effectiveness of emergency system in the selected
number of communes in one of the Polish South-West regions have been
assessed. The goal of this paper is to examine, using a stochastic simulation
Monte Carlo model, the influence of the predicted demographic changes
(fluctuations of population number) and epidemiological changes (fluctuations
in EMS events: calls-for-service passed to the dispatcher of EMS system) on
the access to emergency care. |
Full
text: |