Digital Library

of the European Council for Modelling and Simulation



Monte Carlo Simulation Model To Study The Inequalities In Access To EMS Services


Bo┼╝ena Mielczarek, Jacek Zabawa

Published in:


ECMS 2007 Proceedings

Edited by: Ivan Zelinka, Zuzana Oplatkova, Alessandra Orsoni


ISBN: 978-0-9553018-2-7

Doi: 10.7148/2007


21st European Conference on Modelling and Simulation,

Prague, June 4-6, 2007


Citation format:

Mielczarek, B., & Zabawa, J. (2007). Monte Carlo Simulation Model To Study The Inequalities In Access To EMS Services. ECMS 2007 Proceedings edited by: I. Zelinka, Z. Oplatkova, A. Orsoni (pp. 50-55). European Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2007-0050.



A Monte Carlo simulation model has been set up to analyze the inequalities in access to emergency medical services (EMS) in Lower Silesia Region in Poland. In the former studies carried on by one author the differences between different evaluative criteria measuring the effectiveness of emergency system in the selected number of communes in one of the Polish South-West regions have been assessed. The goal of this paper is to examine, using a stochastic simulation Monte Carlo model, the influence of the predicted demographic changes (fluctuations of population number) and epidemiological changes (fluctuations in EMS events: calls-for-service passed to the dispatcher of EMS system) on the access to emergency care.

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