Digital Library

of the European Council for Modelling and Simulation



Synthesis Of Sustainable Development Scenarios Of Social Economic Systems


Dmitry A. Kononov, Vladimir V. Kul’ba, Jana Bikovska

Published in:


ECMS 2008 Proceedings

Edited by: Loucas S. Louca, Yiorgos Chrysanthou, Zuzana Oplatkova, Khalid Al-Begain


ISBN: 978-0-9553018-6-5

Doi: 10.7148/2008


22nd European Conference on Modelling and Simulation,

Nicosia, June 3-6, 2008


Citation format:

Kononov, D. A., Kulba, V. V., & Bikovska, J. (2008). Synthesis Of Sustainable Development Scenarios Of Social Economic Systems. ECMS 2008 Proceedings edited by: L. S. Louca, Y. Chrysanthou, Z. Oplatkova, K. Al-Begain (pp. 139-144). European Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2008-0139



This paper presents basic principles of a scenario approach application to the problem of optimal development of social economic systems. The formalized description of scenario of system sustainable development is introduced and synergetic and attractive scenarios are examined. The modes providing stable and safe development of social economic system are investigated for synergistic scenarios, however for attractive scenarios it is the control purpose. Scenario design example based on the use of the social economic system development model represented by signed the graph language are given. Formal methods of such scenarios development, the "Object-subject" method and the method of base scenarios, are proposed.

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