Digital Library

of the European Council for Modelling and Simulation



Investigation Of Accident Black Spots On Latvian Roads Using Scan Statistics Method


Vitalijs Jurenoks, Vladimirs Jansons, Konstantins Didenko

Published in:


ECMS 2008 Proceedings

Edited by: Loucas S. Louca, Yiorgos Chrysanthou, Zuzana Oplatkova, Khalid Al-Begain


ISBN: 978-0-9553018-6-5

Doi: 10.7148/2008


22nd European Conference on Modelling and Simulation,

Nicosia, June 3-6, 2008


Citation format:

Jurenoks, V., Jansons, V., & Didenko, K. (2008). Investigation Of Accident Black Spots On Latvian Roads Using Scan Statistics Method. ECMS 2008 Proceedings edited by: L. S. Louca, Y. Chrysanthou, Z. Oplatkova, K. Al-Begain (pp. 393-398). European Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2008-0393



Scan statistics is an instrument of research of statistical dynamics of the development of the object under investigation in space and time [1] – [5]. Research is made of statistics of road accidents distributed in space and time in the territory of Latvia. Alongside with the Monte-Carlo method when calculating the p-value, it is possible to use the direct method of scan modelling, taking into consideration the empirical rules of distribution of road accidents on the highways of Latvia. In this case both parametric and non-parametric methods may be used to describe the distribution of road accidents in Latvia. The methodology of research of road accidents in space and time enables to detect the most dangerous places on the highways of Latvia, check the efficiency of the decisions taken to improve the quality of roads and allocate the resources of the socio- economic system in a more rational way.

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