Digital Library

of the European Council for Modelling and Simulation



Synthesis Of Development Scenarios Of Complex Systems


Vladimir V. Kul’ba, Dmitry A. Kononov, Galina Merkuryeva

Published in:


ECMS 2008 Proceedings

Edited by: Loucas S. Louca, Yiorgos Chrysanthou, Zuzana Oplatkova, Khalid Al-Begain


ISBN: 978-0-9553018-6-5

Doi: 10.7148/2008


22nd European Conference on Modelling and Simulation,

Nicosia, June 3-6, 2008


Citation format:

Kulba, V. V., Kononov, D. A., & Merkuryeva, G. (2008). Synthesis Of Development Scenarios Of Complex Systems. ECMS 2008 Proceedings edited by: L. S. Louca, Y. Chrysanthou, Z. Oplatkova, K. Al-Begain (pp. 403-409). European Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2008-0403.



This paper presents new theoretical results of the methodology elaboration for the scenario-based re- search of complex systems. Basic techniques and tasks of the scenario-based research of social economic sys- tems are formulated. Basic concepts of behaviour sce- nario, as well as of its elements and their characteristics are defined. Tasks of optimal synthesis of synergetic and attractive scenarios of social economic system de- velopment are determined.

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