Digital Library

of the European Council for Modelling and Simulation



A New Approach For The Bullwhip Effect


Hans-Peter Barbey

Published in:



(2016).ECMS 2016 Proceedings edited by: Thorsen Claus, Frank Herrmann, Michael Manitz, Oliver Rose, European Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2016



ISBN: 978-0-9932440-2-5


30th European Conference on Modelling and Simulation,

Regensburg Germany, May 31st – June 3rd, 2016


Citation format:

Hans-Peter Barbey (2016). A New Approach For The Bullwhip Effect, ECMS 2016 Proceedings edited by: Thorsten Claus, Frank Herrmann, Michael Manitz, Oliver Rose  European Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2016-0407



Supply chains in industry have a very complex structure. The influence of many parameters is not known. Therefore the control of the orders, material flow and stock is rather difficult. In order to recognize the basic relationships between the parameters, a very simple model was set up. It consists of 4 identical stages. In all stages the stock is closed-loop controlled to a nominal stock. Therefore the only decision which can be done in the entire supply chain is the quantity of an order. In a first simulation run a suitable order strategy will be defined. Good results can be realized, if an order is splitted up in two: A customers order and a stock order. In a second run this strategy will be applied to a seasonal trend of the customers requirements. It will be shown that the bullwhip effect can be minimized with the applied order strategy.


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