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Digital
Library of the European Council for Modelling and Simulation |
Title: |
Demographic And Statistical Modelling Of Grandfatherhood In Russia |
Authors: |
Oksana Shubat,
Mark Shubat |
Published in: |
(2021). ECMS 2021,
35th Proceedings DOI: http://doi.org/10.7148/2021 ISSN:
2522-2422 (ONLINE) ISSN:
2522-2414 (PRINT) ISSN:
2522-2430 (CD-ROM) ISBN: 978-3-937436-72-2 Communications of the ECMS , Volume 35, Issue 1, June 2021, United Kingdom |
Citation
format: |
Oksana Shubat, Mark Shubat
(2021). Demographic And Statistical Modelling Of Grandfatherhood In Russia, ECMS
2021 Proceedings Edited By: Khalid Al-Begain, Mauro
Iacono, Lelio Campanile, Andrzej Bargiela European Council
for Modeling and Simulation. doi:
10.7148/2021-0057 |
DOI: |
https://doi.org/10.7148/2021-0057 |
Abstract: |
In recent
years, negative demographic trends have been developing in Russia. The most
important is a decline in the birth rate. Researchers are actively looking
for new determinants of this process, on the basis of which measures of
population policy can be developed. One of these determinants may be active grandparenting, which means the active participation of
grandparents in the processes of caring for grandchildren. The aim of this
study is to create a demographic and statistical model of a typical Russian
grandfather, actively involved in childcare. We used the following methods:
parametric and nonparametric independent samples tests (t-test, Mann-Whitney
U test, median test), regression analysis, indirect
method of calculations. As a result, two models were presented – statistical
demographic model of the age when Russian men enter grandparenthood and
demographic model of a typical Russian grandfather actively involved in
childcare. Our study is a preliminary stage for a large-scale survey of grandparenting practices in Russia. The number of older
people is growing fast, which makes this socio-economic group increasingly
important for addressing the problems of demographic decline in Russia.
Therefore, large-scale research of grandparenthood is crucial for more
efficient policy-making in this sphere. |
Full
text: |